Jaeger Research Institute

WHY RON PAUL CAN WIN Additional Considerations

by James Jaeger

Possibly Ron Paul believes that it is unlikely he will ever be president. Nevertheless, the 76-year-old soldiers on in the hope that his Cause will be able to reform the Republican Party. For many, myself included, this is a glorious dream -- but unfortunately, a pipe dream.(1)
And the reason for this is simple. Ron Paul's vision comes from the U.S. Constitution, a document that the GOP establishment estranged years ago.
But if Ron Paul is serious about reform, the VEHICLE he uses to deliver his message is not important. In other words, the MESSAGE is more important than the PARTY that delivers that message.
Thus, the GOP is right to fear that Dr. Paul will "quit the party when the primaries are over and run as a third-party candidate on the Libertarian or some other line in the November election" as political analyst and author of Suicide of a Superpower, Patrick J. Buchanan, observes.(2)
This fear was also expressed by Reagan campaign strategist, Ed Rollins, when he said that "Ron Paul should be given the respect he deserves."
Buchanan feels, however, that it is assured that Dr. Paul will not go third party. This is "not going to happen. Such a decision would sunder the movement Paul has pulled together, bring about his own and his party's certain defeat in November, and re-elect Barack Obama," says Buchanan.
But if Paul does NOT go third party, his life's work may NOT culminate.
Whether one agrees or disagrees with this statement depends on their philosophy of the GOP. If ones philosophy is that a tiger can change its stripes -- that the GOP will somehow become the party of small government -- then perhaps it makes sense for Dr. Paul to stick it out and be loyal. But I don't see that happening.
As evidenced by the current $15.5 trillion national debt, trillion-dollar deficits and $75 trillion in long-term liabilities: the Republican Party has become a big-government party every bit as much as the Democratic party. And this has happened on the watch of BOTH parties so neither are innocent. Both political parties are taking us down the "road to serfdom," as F.A. Hayek might say. And the reason for this is the endless fiat money being issued by the Federal Reserve System (as we discuss in FIAT EMPIRE at http://youtu.be/5K41O2QfpjA ). Fiat currency funds the welfare state the Democrats want and the warfare state the Republicans want.
Neither major political party talks about this, or fiat money. Only Ron Paul talks about fiat money.
If the Democrats and Republicans won't confront fiat money by discussing it, let alone by auditing and/or ending the Fed, THEN HOW IS IT POSSIBLE THAT EITHER PARTY WILL EVER BECOME A SMALL GOVERNMENT PARTY?
These two parties will thus destroy the dollar and eventually the U.S. as an industrial nation opening it up even more to the ravages of the PATRIOT Act-mentality who value "security" more than freedom OR productivity.(3) If this happens: THIS will be Ron Paul's legacy, a coward that failed to go for the golden ring at a time when it could have made all the difference to millions.
The "movement Paul has pulled together" is unique in our times. It is nothing less than a revolution, and that's why it's called THE RON PAUL REVOLUTION. And contrary to Counsel on Foreign Relations propaganda, this revolution was the impetus for the Tea Party movement, a movement which now seems to have been co-opted and neutered by the GOP establishment.
BUT THE RON PAUL REVOLUTION CONTINUES IN SPITE OF THE GOP, NOT BECAUSE OF THE GOP.

The GOP - Not Ron Paul's friend:
The GOP has never been Ron Paul's friend, nor will it ever be -- unless the unthinkable happens, RON PAUL GETS CO-OPTED BY THE GOP ESTABLISHMENT ITSELF. His supporters, of course, know this would never happen. In fact many observes think the GOP is only pretending to be Ron Paul's friend because he has them backed into a political corner. And the Ron Paul butt-kissing is all over the mainstream media to prove it. But none of this is sincere. Remember the days in the Winter of 2008 when Ron Paul was winning one FOX poll after another and Sean Hannity, a perfect GOP specimen, was practically spitting bullets? In fact, Hannity was so arrogant and disparaging to Dr. Paul, his fans practically tackled the super-pundit when he was leaving his building one evening on 7 Jan 2008. See angry Ron Paul fans screaming at Hannity in the video at http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p5rJI5e0jBU if you have forgotten the days when the GOP was showing its real colors to the Fed-slaying political messiah.
And let's not forget the disrespect GOP-hopeful, Rudy Giuliani, showed for Dr. Paul when, in the 15 May 2007 debate, he mocked him before the world for stating that "the terrorists are over here because we are over there," an observation first made by Pat Buchanan. See this debate at http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AD7dnFDdwu0 if your memory of the GOP needs refreshing.
But don't believe me, that the GOP once spat upon Ron Paul -- Ed Rollins confirmed this treatment when he stated: "They didn't treat him well, four years ago, when he (Ron Paul) stayed in the race to the bitter end." See video of Ed stating this at http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4r7JArNMd20
So today -- as evidence that self-sufficiency makes stronger individuals than the nanny state makes the collective -- the growth of the Libertarian-conservative RON PAUL REVOLUTION shows that Dr. Paul does not even NEED the GOP to win a general election. If he were to walk away for a third party in July, he would take at least 12% of the Republican vote. He would take another 15% from the Independents and at least 11% from the Democrats. This would give him 38% -- enough of the vote to WIN THE PRESIDENCY in a 3-man race.(4)
GOP strategists, like Rollins, Carville and Rove, know this and this is why you will never hear any of them actually utter it in the media. If the public were to become too "hopeful" -- if they were to understand the mathematics of the situation -- even more people would vote for Ron Paul if for no other reason than to be on the winner's bandwagon. See the originating, sister article to this article entitled, WHY RON PAUL CAN WIN, at http://www.JaegerResearchInstitute.org/articles/ronpaul.htm
Another reason we know GOP pundits are terrified by a third party Ron Paul-run is because they are desperately attempting to get Dr. Paul to commit to NOT running. Witness Sean Hannity trying to get a commitment from Ron Paul NOT to go third party at http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H3p9s1cSzko
But, if Ron Paul walked away from the GOP he would not BECOME a pariah in his party, he already IS a pariah in his party. He always has been and he always will be. Those who watched Ron Paul argue with Alan Greenspan on C-SPAN back in the mid-1990s know Ron Paul is also a pariah with the Federal Reserve System. That, in fact, is how I discovered Ron Paul and interviewed him for the documentary film, FIAT EMPIRE -- Why the Federal Reserve Violates the U.S. Constitution. At that time, there were no other congressmen arguing with Dr. Greenspan. There were not even any other congressmen that COULD argue with Dr. Greenspan. Only Ron Paul could because he understood the difference between Austrian economics and the Keynesian economics that are now burying his nation in debt. This is why THE RON PAUL REVOLUTION runs philosophically deep.
This is why Dr. Paul has been able to be consistent and why he has consistently stated that he cannot endorse any of the other GOP candidates and he doesn't see how he could possibly run on a ticket with any of them due to differences in principle. How could Ron Paul double up with someone that doesn't understand the difference between Austrian and Keynesian economics? How could Ron Paul double up with or support someone that doesn't even know what fiat money is or what Article I, Section 8 of the U.S. Constitution states? How could Ron Paul support someone that has no idea where Congress gets most of its money? Dr. Paul, as a true Constitutionalist, knows all of these things. The others are ignoramuses who just give the Constitution and economics lip-service.

Dad's Third Party Run - Effect on Rand Paul:
Some have argued that, were Dr. Paul to run as a third party candidate, his son, Senator Rand Paul, would be forced to endorse his father and essentially abandon the GOP. Rand Paul's career with the GOP would thus be ruined.
Actually, whether Rand Paul endorses his father or not is no ones business except Rand Paul's and it's not even relevant to THE RON PAUL REVOLUTION.
As great as it may be for a father to have a son follow in his footsteps, there are times when a greater concern outweighs family goals. If Rand Paul truly understands the importance of his father's work, he will gladly support anything he does without personal concern. On the other hand, if Rand Paul would rather stay loyal to the GOP, that's his prerogative. No rational person would stigmatize Rand Paul just because he made a different choice from his father.
But the greater question -- given the great promise Rand Paul has so far demonstrated -- is why would he even WANT to be a "future Republican leader" in a political party that was bringing the nation to ruin? With its profligate spending; empire-building ploys; debt-monetizing insanity, why would Rand Paul want to run the risk of becoming but a footnote in history by swimming counter to the currents of THE RON PAUL REVOLUTION?
Given the fact that the youth of the nation are endorsing THE RON PAUL REVOLUTION of small government, ending the Fed and an end to perpetual wars, the future of the GOP -- which is against all these things -- is NOT bright at all. In fact, the GOP, and the Democrats, are doomed. Like the sinking Titanic, all Republicans have been doing this past 30 years is re-arranging the deckchairs while the panem et circenses band plays on.
It is true that Ron Paul would be wise to stay with the GOP up until the last minute so he can maintain his media presence, but the very fact that he has to even DO this should tell us all something about the mainstream media. And that something is the fact that, like the GOP, the mainstream media is NOT any friend of Ron Paul or even of WE THE PEOPLE. So long as it endlessly consolidates and places its corporate advertisers' interests above the public concerns, the mainstream media is a liability to a democratic market of ideas. Unfortunately, Ron Paul, a libertarian at heart, has been forced to operate on this media's stage in order to get any play at all. Had Dr. Paul gone third party four years ago, he would have received almost no exposure and few today would know very much about his message. Note what happened to third party candidates, such as Ralph Nader, Harry Brown and Gary Johnson, etc. The exception was the multi-billionaire, Ross Perot, who got mainstream play ONLY because he self-financed his own media campaign.
Ron Paul started and represents a major populist CAUSE that millions endorse, yet the mainstream media still pushes the other candidates who just support the horse race for the status quo.
It is thus impossible for the GOP to "grow up" or change because it is locked into this competition with the Democratic Party. If the GOP stops with its program of handouts and entitlements, the public will always place Democrats in to power. This is the dilemma for the GOP and why no reform is possible, as we more fully discuss in the movie SPOILER - How a Third Political Party Could Win." See http://youtu.be/GbF5loRF61U
Even still, Ron Paul giving his commitment to support the GOP is what apologists for the GOP want. But if Ron Paul does this, he will have compromised his principles. Even if the GOP promises to change its ways, many will have serious doubts they will keep their promise.
The GOP and the DEMS have had their chance. They have both brought the country to the verge of bankruptcy and totalitarianism over the past 98 years. They will never reform or be able to BE reformed. No placation-speech -- allotted to Ron Paul at the Republican National Convention -- is going to reform either entrenched party or rescind the PATRIOT Act. The ONLY possibility for reform will come if Dr. Paul goes Indy sometime after the GOP selects its CFR-approved, status-quo nominee. In going Indy, the only risk is that Dr. Paul might not get 38%, hence the presidency. If this happens then Obama DOES get back in; but again, so what! Only blind partisans -- or people that don't quite grok the fact that both parties are identical in effect -- will be concerned about this. Again, see "WHY RON PAUL CAN WIN" at http://www.JaegerResearchInstitute.org/articles/ronpaul.htm
Mitt Romney can NEVER be Ron Paul's friend. Mitt Romney is a corporate fascist, as we define in the movie, CORPORATE FASCISM at http://youtu.be/hTbvoiTJKIs. He has depended on the bogus, artificial interest rates afforded by fiat money for every major business venture he has ever been involved with. Mitt Romney would NEVER end the Fed because the Fed is what butters his bread. It is doubtful if he would ever even AUDIT the Fed. Same goes for Gingrich and Santorum. Both these guys are big government guys, especially Santorum who will expand the military-industrial complex to the high heavens.
Ron Paul's constituency is NOT unipolar. Ron Paul's constituency falls ACROSS the PC-political spectrum as it well should. People who want smaller government, who want to audit the fed; reduce the debt; get out of foreign wars and rebuild the middle class are NOT only in the GOP, they are also in the Democratic party, but mostly Independents. They are the youth and people in the military. At least 38% of the people in the country WANT Ron Paul and only 12% of these come from the GOP. Thus, Ron Paul is actually BIGGER than the GOP. THE RON PAUL REVOLUTION supersedes the GOP and any particular faction. That's why what's happening is so special and why WE THE PEOPLE sometimes have difficulty understanding the magnitude of these events.
RON PAUL'S ONLY CHANCE FOR A MEANINGFUL LEGACY IS TO GO INDY AND TAKE THE PRESIDENCY. EVEN IF THAT DOES NOT HAPPEN, HE WILL HAVE OPENED THE WAY FOR A FUTURE "RON PAUL" TO TAKE THE PRESIDENCY. RON PAUL IS THE JOHN C. FREMONT OF OUR TIMES. See "Who Will Be Our Modern-Day Jefferson" by Nelson Hultberg at http://www.jaegerresearchinstitute.org/articles/modern.htm
Ron Paul's most salient issues: auditing the Fed and eventually ending the fiat-currency fraud; downsizing of the U.S. empire; closing many or most of the 900 military bases in 130 countries; and establishing a mind-our-own-business foreign policy will never happen in the business-as-usual GOP or welfare state-crazed Democratic Party.
Thus, if Dr. Paul fails to use the power he has at this critical moment in history he will never have it again, nor will anyone else for a long time. The mainstream media is substantially bought and paid for by the entrenched parties. You can bet the Washington establishment and the K-street corporate fascists that have hijacked Congress, once the race is over, all will turn on Dr. Paul and make him as much of a non-person as the J.P. Morgan/Thomas Edison establishment of the day turned on Nikola Tesla and literally erased him from the front page of TIME.
POWER MUST BE CEASED, NEVER ASKED FOR. RON PAUL MUST CEASE POWER IF HE HAS THE OPPORTUNITY. ONLY FROM A POSITION OF POWER CAN THE RON PAUL REVOLUTION RESTORE TRUE CONSTITUTIONAL PRINCIPLES.
THE WASHINGTON ESTABLISHMENT, NOR THE CORPORATOCRACY THAT DOMINATES CONGRESS, IS ABOUT TO SURRENDER THEIR FIAT MONEY SYSTEM OR THE MILITARY-INDUSTRIAL COMPLEX THAT SUPPLIES THE WORLD WITH WEAPONS AND FOMENTS PERPETUAL WARS FOR PROFIT.
WE THE PEOPLE MUST TAKE OUR COUNTRY BACK FROM THE TRAITORS AND TYRANTS THAT HAVE USURPED POWER OVER THE PAST 100 YEARS BY BASTARDIZING THE CONSTITUTION. RON PAUL STANDS IN A POSITION TO START THIS PROCESS -- BUT ONLY IF HE GOES INDY AND TAKES A SHOT AT THE STARS.
Again, since Dr. Paul's constituency is supra GOP -- even if he defects from the GOP and fails at a presidential run -- he will only estrange the people in the GOP that are stuck in the partisan game of Democrats vs. Republicans. In other words, he will only estrange the "spoiler mentality." More and more of the country, as witnessed by the growth of the Independents, now recognize that BOTH political parties are wings of the same ugly bird. These people are the future. Ron Paul AND Rand Paul should be more concerned about these people than propitiating to the GOP establishment for a token speech or career some advancement.
The fact that Ron Paul has an investment portfolio with 21% in real-estate, 14% in cash and about 65% gold should be absolute proof that Dr. Paul believes the fiat financial system is doomed. He is thus more than a prophet, he is leading the way out. This leadership takes rank over any other consideration.
Eric Hoffer wrote a book entitled, THE TRUE BELIEVER: Thoughts on the Nature of Mass Movements. In this work, Hoffer maintains that revolutions are usually accomplished with only a small percentage of a population - between 1% and 7%. The vast majority are inert. If Hoffer's observations are correct, THE RON PAUL REVOLUTION has, or will shortly have, more than enough supporters to make its CAUSE quite real.

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(1) See the precursor article to this article, such entitled, WHY RON PAUL CAN WIN at http://www.JaegerResearchInstitute.org/articles/ronpaul.htm
(2) "The True Believer" by Patrick J. Buchanan http://www.lewrockwell.com/buchanan/buchanan208.html
(3) "Those who would give up Essential Liberty to purchase a little Temporary Safety, deserve neither Liberty nor Safety" is the famous line usually attributed to Founding Father, Benjamin Franklin. It is more certain that Franklin, in his "Poor Richard's Almanac of 1738" wrote a similar proverb, such being "Sell not virtue to purchase wealth, nor Liberty to purchase power." Probably the most concise way -- and most relevant way to our times -- to sum up this idea is the following: "Those Who Sacrifice Liberty For Security Deserve Neither." Since this is a grain of eternal truth, does it matter who first wrote or said it? The PATRIOT Act is the poster boy Act for those who would sacrifice the hard-won liberty WE THE PEOPLE earned after a deadly war with the world's then-superpower, Great Britain. Supporters of the PATRIOT Act, therefore deserve neither security or liberty. They should in fact be JAILED for their disgraceful rape of the U.S. Constitution and the values that set America free and allowed her to become the most creative and productive nation the world has ever known. The War of Terrorism, sponsored by the GOP, is a sham perpetrated on WE THE PEOPLE so the military-industrial complex can justify its manufacturing and distribution of weapons to every corner of the globe. In other words, the so-called, War on Terror, is nothing more than a War for Profits waged by the plutocracy that has hijacked the U.S. Congress. The Republicans and Democrats are intricate enablers of this treason to liberty and therefore no longer deserve support by WE THE PEOPLE. See ORIGINAL INTENT - How the Democratic and Republican Parties Are Destroying the American Dream, featuring Ron Paul, Pat Buchanan, Edwin Vieira, G. Edward Griffin and Ted Baehr available at http://www.OriginalIntent.Us.
(4) Ron Paul could get most of the 1,144 delegates even though the others are winning the popular vote as of 11 Feb 2012. See Doug Wead, RON PAUL campaign Senior Manager, on RACHEL MADDOW Show http://revolutionarypolitics.tv/video/viewVideo.php?video_id=17722

Originated: 08 February 2012
Revised: 09 February 2012
Revised & Supplemented: 11 February 2012

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